Republicans win in 2012 but not 2016.
Was high minority turnout necessary for Obama to have won the national vote? With 2004 Turnout Levels: The result, of course, was Obama wins in both 2008 and 2012.
KeninTexas Wasn't this story headline news a few weeks ago? The new, larger survey from the Census Bureau permits an examination of the voting-eligible population and the extent to which they turned out to vote. Why should it matter? As a final exercise, I produced projections for the 2016 and 2020 elections which adjust Census Bureau population projections to estimate eligible voter populations by race and ethnicity in those years.
It's wonderful that more blacks are voting. For whites, the 2004 Republican margin was high by historical standards at 17. Asians continue to represent a smaller share of voters than Hispanics: The November Voting and Registration Supplement is one of the richest sources available of information about the characteristics of voters.
Kettl 2016. Hispanic and Asian turnout improved markedly after 2004. Meanwhile, among white eligible voters, the voter turnout rate fell slightly, from 67. In this regard, demography indeed becomes destiny.
During this period, the typically Democratic leaning combined black and Hispanic electorate rose to approach nearly quarter of eligible voters—a fraction that will rise in the future as more U. Natalie Why should it matter? It's not right when morons like the KKK do it, and it's not right when blacks do it, simply because Obama is part black.
Well, if we're going to use the race card, then that must go to show that more white people know we live in a republic and not a democracy like people still tend to believe. To these voter populations, I applied the actual 2012 voting margins as shown in Figure 3. A number of long-standing trends in presidential elections either reversed or stalled in 2016, as black voter turnout decreased, white turnout increased and the nonwhite share of the U.